Market makers – English Daily Wed, 25 May 2022 17:51:19 +0000 en-US hourly 1 Market makers – English Daily 32 32 SOXX: Ingrained Massive Pessimism (NASDAQ: SOXX) Wed, 25 May 2022 17:40:00 +0000

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Investment thesis

The iShares Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SOXX) offers semiconductor investors a well-diversified approach to investing in semiconductors. As a result, investors can gain exposure to most of the semi-value chain, from cutting-edge chip designers to cutting-edge chipmakers. Therefore, some technologies investors are considering adding exposure to SOXX as a core ETF to help participate in semi-stocks they don’t have exposure to.

Despite this, the SOXX has also been beaten since the start of 2022, as many of its component stocks have been pummeled. As a result, the SOXX is down nearly 28% year-to-date (as of May 25) and remains deeply entrenched in bearish momentum. Our analysis of the price action also suggests that the SOXX may struggle in the near term as a reversal of the bearish trap remains elusive. Therefore, we urge investors to watch its price action carefully for signs of a potential reversal.

We discuss critical support levels for semi-investors to watch, which could also portend a much-anticipated reversal for the underlying stocks of his holdings.

Six of its top ten holdings are in a bear market

The top ten holdings of SOXX (1/2)

Top Ten SOXX Holdings (1/2) (koyfin)

The top ten holdings of SOXX (2/2)

Top Ten SOXX Holdings (2/2) (koyfin)

With six of SOXX’s top ten holdings limping in a bear market decline, it’s easy to see why the ETF has also taken a big hit. Notably, its 2020-21 top performers, NVIDIA (NVDA) and AMD (AMD), were significantly beaten as market makers digested their massive gains over the past two years. Even SOXX’s main holding company, Broadcom (AVGO), could not escape the clutches of the bears as investors quickly digested its gains.

Bull traps were cleverly set in November and March

SOXX Price Chart

SOXX Price Chart (TradingView)

A closer inspection of SOXX’s price action reveals two startling revelations. The rally from the COVID bottom in March 2020 had a two-month “final push” from September to November 2021. This culminated in a consolidation zone seen above, resulting in a nifty bull trap. Because of the trap, we were then able to deduce that the consolidation zone was a distribution phase.

NVDA Pricing Chart

NVDA Price Chart (TradingView)

We also reported to members of our service in early November that we had observed a remarkable bull trap in NVDA stock that alarmed us. Accordingly, we have articulated (edited):

NVIDIA stock is starting to show signs of potential bullish price action. We regularly added NVDA on withdrawals, and also at the end of last year until May of this year. However, once the price started to move quickly afterwards, NVDA didn’t look so cheap anymore. Recent price spikes have taken it into well overvalued areas. Coupled with potential bullish trap price action, it calls for increased caution. (Ultimate Growth Investing Service November 5, 2021 Daily Market Analysis)

Readers can observe the significant price rally that quickly drew buyers to NVDA stock following its fall 2021 GTC conference. fallen directly into the trap of market makers. Notably, the November bull trap was also prominent in the SOXX. Therefore, SOXX investors should also pay close attention to analyzing the price action of its underlying stocks. They could reveal critical clues that could portend notable changes in the ETF’s momentum.

Also, the bull trap set in March was the straw that broke the camel’s back. It has established the critical resistance level to help push the SOXX into “negative flux” and its ensuing bearish momentum.

Currently, the SOXX is still trapped in bearish momentum with no sign of a bearish trap reversal price action signal. Nonetheless, it appears to be testing its short-term support level at $390. However, it is still too early to know if this level of support could hold. Given its bearish momentum, we would be waiting for a reversal signal from the double bottom price action that may preclude an eventual end to its affliction.

Alternatively, market makers may force it down to the $286 level (an implied 27% decline from the current price) before a potential reversal of the downside trap. Therefore, SOXX investors should observe these two levels before considering overlaying accordingly.

Is the SOXX ETF a buy, sell or hold?

We rate SOXX as a suspension at this time.. We are still waiting for a reversal signal from the downside trap which could help us validate a potential dip in its downside momentum. However, we have yet to observe one.

Notably, the median semiconductor P/E ratio normalized significantly to 19.6x, well below its 10-year average of 24.6x. Therefore, we believe its more reasonable valuation supports our analysis of the price action that the bottom could be within the two critical support levels shown above.

Wallpaper* wants… five state-of-the-art sound systems Sat, 21 May 2022 08:05:03 +0000

Wallpaper* wants… cutting-edge sound systems that sound as good as they look

At the high end of the market, ultimate sound systems are something to watch, not just listen to

There are two schools of thought when it comes to audio systems. Early adopters of the streaming generation have grown accustomed to an out-of-sight, out-of-mind model with built-in speakers and seamless multi-room systems, all operated from a smartphone or a dedicated remote control. But given that nearly all of us have banished physical media from our lives, dematerializing music even more isn’t for everyone. At the high end of the market, manufacturers have never lost sight of the fact that the pinnacle of audio quality is something to watch, not just listen to. Here are five desirable ways to bring your music to life.

Five state-of-the-art audio systems

1. Devialet Dione soundbar

(image courtesy of Devialet)

Devialet’s first foray into soundbars gave the French company a conundrum to solve. With the brand best known for its outlandishly shaped all-in-one speaker systems, the soundbar’s form factor isn’t exactly up for debate. Nonetheless, Devialet’s designers have gone above and beyond, subverting and distorting the soundbar’s plank-like shape with the addition of a central circular speaker. The inclusion of Dolby Atmos 5.1.2 creates the feeling of three-dimensional, cinematic sound, thanks to 17 separate speakers, with separate music and voice modes to smooth out spatialization.

2.Elipson W35+ speaker

(image courtesy of Elipson)

French manufacturer Elipson presents the W35+, a spherical diffusion stereo loudspeaker that can be placed on a sideboard or mounted on the optional silver oak or walnut stand. The full suite of streaming services is supported via Wi-Fi, with a simple interface located on top of the circular speaker, while additional features are accessed via the Elipson app. With a power of 350 W, the W35+ is a stand-alone audio solution that can also be suspended from the ceiling.

3.HiFi Rose RA180

(image courtesy of HiFi ROSE)

Separate components are still a mainstay of the audiophile’s bespoke approach to building a system, a world where individual quality and distinction matter, not the universal harmony of form. If you want the most outrageous amplifier, look no further than the RA180 from HiFi Rose, a Korean company that bets on high-end components and extravagant design to woo perfectionists. The 800W amp can power two sets of speakers, with an aluminum front that evokes the golden age of 1970s hi-fi design, complete with toggle switches, VU meters and a mechanism of exposed volume dial.

4. dCS Vivaldi One APEX

(image courtesy of dCS)

An upgraded version of dCS’ acclaimed Vivaldi One, the APEX version will be limited to just 50 units. The unit is an all-in-one CD player, amplifier and network music player, housed in an aerospace-grade aluminum enclosure. The front panel is the pinnacle of minimal expressionism, with two curved folds that evoke the crimp line of a sports car, or even a Lucio Fontana canvas. A simple screen, a tray to load CDs, remember? – and minimal buttons are reinforced by a full remote control. Around the back, it’s all a bit more serious, with robust connectors – both analogue and digital – to get the sounds perfectly decoded and ether-processed.

5. KEF LS60 by Michael Young

(image courtesy of KEF)

KEF’s 60th anniversary celebrations continue with the new LS60 floorstanding loudspeakers, the Kent-based company’s first foray into stand-alone wireless devices. The KEF team worked alongside Hong Kong-based British industrial designer Michael Young and his studio to shape these elegant monoliths. The choice of three finishes – Titanium Grey, Mineral White and Royal Blue – should match any interior décor you have on hand, while the KEF Connect app makes it easy to pair with every source imaginable, from phones to game consoles.


Applied Materials Stock: Liquidation May Not Be Complete (NASDAQ:AMAT) Wed, 18 May 2022 13:38:00 +0000

Various photographs/iStock Editorial via Getty Images

Investment thesis

Applied materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) will release its FQ2 results card on May 19. Despite its strong free cash flow (FCF) yields, its stock has also been hurt by the recent decline in semi-equities. Like As a result, AMAT stock was also sent into a bear market, 30% below its January highs.

However, it has outperformed many of its more expensive semi-expensive counterparts as the market has digested the industry’s massive gains from 2020. The market remains concerned about the industry’s ability to sustain growth, considering given growing macroeconomic weakness, supply chain disruptions affecting manufacturing equipment suppliers, and soaring raw material prices.

Our price action analysis also suggests that AMAT stock is at a near-term low, following May’s strong sell-off.

We like the FCF returns in AMAT stock, and believe they provided a strong defense for its valuation during the sell-off. However, we’ve grown more cautious about its less robust technical image.

Our analysis of the price action suggests broad resistance at the $120 level, which was its previous critical support zone. But, given January’s huge upside trap, there could be potential for a deeper sell before AMAT stock hits a medium-term low.

Accordingly, we are revising our Buy to Hold rating, in the direction of its FQ2 chart, with a price target of $120 (implied up 2.7%). We urge investors to watch the retest of its critical short-term low of $105 before considering adding exposure.

AMAT shares’ high FCF returns helped it avoid a deeper sell-off

Stock AMAT NTM FCF returns % Vs. peers

Stock AMAT NTM FCF returns % Vs. peers (TIKR)

AMAT share Performance YTD % Vs. peers

AMAT share Performance YTD % Vs. peers (koyfin)

The semi-finished industry has been battered since the start of 2022. Of the names we tracked in our charts above, only Broadcom (AVGO) stock is down less than 20% year-to-date . As a result, there was nowhere for semi-investors to hide as market makers turned to digest their massive 2020 gains.

Nonetheless, we believe AMAT stock’s robust FCF returns have helped it weather the recent maelstrom that engulfed semi-equities. AMAT stock last traded at an NTM FCF yield of 5.85% (vs. 5-year average of 7.42%). This could help explain in part why the hit was less severe than the -38.2% hammering in NVIDIA (NVDA) stock or even the -28.8% in AMD (AMD) stock. Notably, AMAT stock outperformed its manufacturing equipment counterpart ASML (ASML). ASML stock has fallen 29% year-to-date, with its FCF yield of 2.11% lagging AMAT’s robust returns.

Investors should watch for slowing growth

GAAP EPS Consensus Estimates of Applied Materials

Applied Materials GAAP EPS Consensus Estimates (S&P Capital IQ)

Applied Materials Sales & EBIT Margins % Consensus Estimates

Applied Materials revenue and EBIT margins % consensus estimates (S&P Capital IQ)

Applied Materials led revenue of $6.35 billion (midpoint), up 13.7% year-over-year for the second quarter. Updated consensus estimates suggest the company should be able to meet its guidance. The company also expects EPS of $1.90, up 32.6% year-on-year. In addition, we believe ASML’s recent outstanding Q1 earnings performance has also bolstered street optimism that Applied Materials will at least meet its guidance.

However, the semi-stock market reaction demonstrated that investors may have looked beyond its FQ2 report. We believe the market remains hesitant on the pace of industry growth from H2’22 as growth could potentially slow given the challenging 2021 compositions. Additionally, we need to observe if Applied Materials could be impacted by more significant supply chain disruptions affecting its near-term revenue forecast. We noted in our previous article that management was quite concerned about supply chain issues. Therefore, we urge investors to pay close attention to management’s comments on its supply chain management.

Price Action Analysis Suggests Short-Term Caution

AMAT share price

AMAT Stock Price Chart (TradingView)

Our price action analysis suggests the market has digested its quick gains from 2020. The consolidation zone in 2021 proved to be a shrewd distribution phase, as market makers unloaded their holdings and lured buyers into the decline.

Additionally, January’s huge bullish trap, as seen above, supported our “end flow” view, attracting the last bearish buyers. However, we thought the robust FCF returns in AMAT stock could help defend against the market selloff. But, in price action, you often learn never to fight market currents, as AMAT stock has proven.

Nonetheless, AMAT stock appears to have hit a short-term low at the $105 level during the May selloff. However, a series of critical resistance areas have formed which may hamper the short-term momentum of AMAT stock.

Therefore, we believe that the $120 resistance level could be an important area to test the market’s will to regain its bullish momentum. But, we urge investors to wait for a retest of the $105 level before adding exposure. Otherwise, there could be another downside, as seen above, which could hurt investors further.

Is the AMAT action a buy, a sell or a hold?

With an implied upside of less than 3% from its resistance level of $120, we believe the risk/reward profile has weakened significantly for AMAT stock in the near term.

So, we are revising our rating on the AMAT share from Buy to Holdheading towards his FQ2 earnings.

TradeTech: Is innovation in the Close going in the wrong direction? Mon, 16 May 2022 13:08:18 +0000

During a panel discussion at the recent TradeTech 2022 in Paris, panelists expressed concern that the extension of the closing auction should not be the focus of trading venues going forward. .

Panelists noted that the close has evolved to include increased broker internalization and the involvement of more sophisticated market makers. However, in light of the growing attention in the final minutes of the day, panelists were divided in their opinions on how to innovate the auction going forward.

“We are seeing interest in the closing auction. It’s a recurring dialogue. Over the past 10 years it feels like we are now operating a bifurcated market and the nature of continuous session liquidity is so different,” said Euronext Head of Liquidity and Derivatives Simon Gallagher.

“One thing that exchange operators need to ask themselves is do we have the right parameters? Is five minutes too long? Should it be three or two minutes? lots for uncross? We have huge data that participants should optimize.”

However, other panelists suggested that in light of previous recent attempts to shorten market hours, this was not the direction the move in the close should be headed.

“We are here in mental health awareness week and not too long ago we were talking about shortening market hours and in fact we are extending them. I don’t see this as a good step forward,” said Jeremy Ellis, T Rowe Price’s head of equity trading for Europe.

Other panelists noted the fractional levels of volumes traded in pan-European markets compared to the United States, despite already extended market hours.

“If you couldn’t find the other side of a trade at 4:30 p.m. and you couldn’t find it in the auction, what makes you think it’s going to magically appear,” said a panelist.


Given the growing share of order flow taking place at the close, Euronext’s Gallagher has been asked to consider pricing-related changes.

Panelists noted that while Turquoise’s Trade At Last did not attract critical mass, Aquis’ Market at Close (MaC) saw market share increase as an alternative method of interacting with the Close using a lesser cost.

“I think that’s something Euronext should look at. We support Aquis as an innovator and fee compression, the real benefit is in fees. As an exchange operator, not just Euronext, if you look at your cost model, I think that would reduce some of the competition,” said Brian Gallagher, Head of Electronic Trading at Exane BNP Paribas.

“The [are] no problems with customer-to-customer correspondence [on Aquis MaC] and pre-trade transparency means concerns about fragmentation mean users are able to re-aggregate volume with the theoretical uncrossed volume that occurs on the main exchange, whereas with an SI it is not available.

NV5 Global: Best Infrastructure Builder (NASDAQ: NVEE) Fri, 13 May 2022 20:58:00 +0000

Pgiam/iStock via Getty Images

Investment thesis

This article will use NV5 Global, Inc. (NASDAQ: NVEE) as an illustration of our continued search for the most likely identification of near-term capital gain prospects and their potential capital loss risks.

We employ behavioral analysis identify the outlook for gain and loss for individual securities over predictable time horizons of several months rather than the several years normally previously used in 20th century valuations.

If you are new to this analysis, please temporarily explore this brief explanation.

Active investment in infrastructure construction stocks

Company description, growth prospects

“NV5 Global provides professional and technical engineering and consulting solutions to public and private sector clients in the infrastructure, utilities, construction, real estate and environmental markets in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Infrastructure; Buildings, Technology & Science; and Geospatial Solutions. The company was formerly known as NV5 Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to NV5 Global, Inc. in December 2015. NV5 Global, Inc. was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Hollywood, Florida.

Source: Yahoo Finance

Street analyst estimates

Yahoo finance

Infrastructure construction services Stocks at present are good vehicles for active investing, as a recognized deficiency in national maintenance is the target of public spending programs to avert recent tragic failures of highways, bridges and public buildings. The era of information technology continues to demand these activities with ever-increasing capabilities for technology capability and public mobility demands.

Setbacks and intermediate failures keep opportunity valuations in flux among many companies. Physical development timelines and marketing efforts under government regulations and peer review progress vary from country to country. Competitive pressures from burgeoning successes of new organizations can impact established businesses.

The investment result is that there is far more price-changing activity for short-term capital gains and losses than can be gained with the “long-term growth and income” strategies of the Twentieth century. What is needed to seize opportunities and minimize losses is a demonstrated stock-by-stock outlook of the expected market price range today and in the near future. The type we find in the behavior of commercial transactions in volume.

Thus, we have specific, honest and unbiased predictions of future price limits, both up and down, driven by self-serving competing interests of participants in open market trading.

These limits can help define potential investment reward and risk on an issue-by-issue basis that is directly comparable between alternatives, regardless of their underlying competitive or economic circumstances. These essential details were subsumed in the hedging negotiations.

Figure 1 uses these predictions to make Risk and Reward price comparisons between alternative investments.

Figure 1

MM Reward Risk Comparisons

(used with permission)

Each stock is positioned on this chart by its intersection of typical upside price change forecasts (on the green horizontal scale) and downside price exposures (on the red vertical scale) after past forecasts like that of today. Any issue above the dotted diagonal has more potential risk than reward at its current price.

A market benchmark by SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) is at the location [4]. Notably, none of the marketing services stocks have less downside risk than SPY, but most of them have higher return prospects. The most expedient, on a reward-risk basis, is [3] NVEE.

Since price change risk is a dynamic and not a constant, these exposure relationships will change over time. It is these changes that provide new opportunities for active investment capital gains on a recurring, shorter-term basis. Besides downside price exposure, there may be other investment attributes that investors will want to consider. Figure 2 shows some of them.

Figure 2

detailed comparative data

(used with permission)

Column price range prediction limits [B] and [C] be defined by MM’s hedging actions to protect the firm’s capital which must be exposed to the risk of price changes from volume trade orders placed by large $”institutional” clients.

[E] measures the potential upside risks for the short MM positions created to fill these orders and rewards the potentials for the buy positions thus created. Past forecasts like this provide a history of relevant risk of lower prices for buyers. The most severe actually encountered are found in [F]during the periods of maintenance in the effort to reach [E] earnings. This is where buyers are most likely to accept losses.

[H] indicates what proportion of the [L] sample of similar past predictions made gains by causing the price to reach its [B] target or be above sound [D] cost of entry at the end of a maximum holding period limit of 3 months.

[ I ] gives the net gains-losses of those [L] experiences and [N] suggests how much [E] can be compared to [ I ].

Other reward-risk trade-offs involve the use of [H] win odds with loss odds 100 – H as weights for N-conditioned [E] and for [F]for a combined yield score [Q]. The typical job retention period [J] on [Q] provides a symbol of merit [fom] ranking measure [R] useful in portfolio position preference. Figure 2 is ranked on R among candidate titles, with TTGT ranked first.

For perspective, along with candidate-specific stocks, these selection considerations are provided for the averages of over 3,300 stocks for which MM price range predictions are available today. Top 20 ranked (by of) of these forecasts, and the forecast for the S&P500 Index ETF as a proxy for the stock market can also be noted.

The 52 bps/day outlook of NVEE when compounded over a year of 252 market days, adds to the 320% gain in [K] if maintained for one year. But its high price target over the next 3 months of $133.91 at +22% above the current expected price of $110 leaves the remaining +295% to be made up of other select investments capable of making gains at same rate of 52 bp/day in the remaining 216 market days of the year, if it takes the previous average of 31 days to gain that +22%.

All of these ifs are what make it easy to track scores by simply adding up the base points achieved and the days it takes to achieve them, then dividing them by each other to get an average CAGR for your portfolio.

Among the top 20 of today’s 3,203 MM price range predictions, their high win odds (87 out of 100) and short holding periods (36 days) drive their average CAGR to 240%. Here, NVEE compares quite favorably at +323%, in contrast to MM’s predicted population CAGR of 22% and SPY at +57%.

Recent Trends in NVEE Price Range Predictions

Figure 3 shows the daily forecast of the MM hedging implied price range for the past 2 years as vertical lines. Unlike the “technical analysis charts” only of past prices these are forward-looking expectations prizes yet to come in the coming months. These are weekly selections of forecasts made daily over the past two years.

Each forecast is divided into upside and downside price change prospects by the big dot of the stock market’s closing price on the day the forecast was made. They are records of direct expressions of what is reasonably expected and where capital has been put at risk, not hypothetical hopes of past price repeats.

picture 3

MM Price Range Weekly Forecast

(used with permission)

The small image at the bottom of Figure 3 shows the daily record for the past 5 years of where market quotes divide each forecast into up and down proportions. The current Range Index of 3 indicates that less than one-twentieth of the full forecast range is down, and more than 19-twentieths is up. Typical NVEE valuations have averaged much higher than the current outlook, an indication of a likely higher price.


The above comparison of NV5 Global, Inc. with its top competitors indicates that a purchase of the stock at this time should provide capital gain satisfactions in the coming months..

Institutional owners may consider drastic measures as Marel hf’s recent Kr30 billion drop. (ICE: MAREL) adds to long-term losses Wed, 11 May 2022 06:02:53 +0000

Each investor in Marel hf. (ICE:MAREL) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. The group with the largest number of shares in the company, around 50% to be precise, are institutions. In other words, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

It follows that institutional investors were the hardest hit group after the company’s market capitalization fell to Kr488 billion last week following a 5.8% drop in the share price. This set of investors may particularly worry about the current loss, which is added to a loss over one year of 25% for shareholders. Often referred to as “market makers,” institutions wield significant power in influencing the price dynamics of any stock. Therefore, if the downtrend continues, institutions may come under pressure to sell Marel hf, which could negatively impact individual investors.

Let’s dive deeper into each Marel hf owner type, starting with the table below.

Discover our latest analysis for Marel hf

ICSE: Distribution of ownership of MAREL May 11, 2022

What does institutional ownership tell us about Marel hf?

Institutional investors typically compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly tracked index. They therefore generally consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark.

We can see that Marel hf has institutional investors; and they own a good part of the shares of the company. This implies that analysts working for these institutions have reviewed the stock and like it. But like everyone else, they can be wrong. If multiple institutions change their minds on a stock at the same time, you could see the stock price drop quickly. So it’s worth taking a look at Marel hf’s earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

ICSE: MAREL Earnings and Revenue Growth May 11, 2022

Since institutional investors own more than half of the issued shares, the board will likely have to pay attention to their preferences. Marel hf does not belong to hedge funds. Looking at our data, we can see that the major shareholder is Eyrir Invest with 25% of the outstanding shares. For context, the second largest shareholder owns approximately 6.6% of the outstanding shares, followed by 5.0% ownership by the third largest shareholder.

Upon closer inspection, we found that more than half of the company’s shares are held by the top 7 shareholders, suggesting that the interests of the larger shareholders are to some extent balanced by those of the smaller ones.

While it makes sense to study data on a company’s institutional ownership, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiment to find out which way the wind is blowing. A number of analysts cover the stock, so you can look at growth forecasts quite easily.

Insider ownership of Marel hf

The definition of an insider may differ slightly from country to country, but board members still matter. The management of the company runs the company, but the CEO will answer to the board of directors, even if he is a member of it.

Most view insider ownership as a positive because it can indicate that the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, there are times when too much power is concentrated within this group.

Our information suggests that Marel hf. insiders own less than 1% of the company. But they may have an indirect interest through a corporate structure that we have not noted. It’s a big company, so even a small proportional interest can create alignment between the board and shareholders. In this case, insiders hold 1.8 billion Kr worth of shares. Arguably, recent purchases and sales are equally important to consider. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.

General public property

The general public, including retail investors, owns 23% of the company’s capital and therefore cannot be easily ignored. This size of ownership, although considerable, may not be sufficient to change company policy if the decision is not in line with other major shareholders.

Private equity ownership

With a 25% stake, private equity firms could influence Marel hf’s board of directors. Some investors might be encouraged by this, as private equity is sometimes able to encourage strategies that help the market see the value of the company. Alternatively, these holders could exit the investment after making it public.

Next steps:

I find it very interesting to see who exactly owns a company. But to really get insight, we also need to consider other information. For example, we have identified 1 warning sign for Marel hf of which you should be aware.

Ultimately the future is the most important. You can access this free analyst forecast report for the company.

NB: The figures in this article are calculated using trailing twelve month data, which refers to the 12 month period ending on the last day of the month the financial statements are dated. This may not be consistent with the annual report figures for the full year.

This Simply Wall St article is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell stocks and does not take into account your objectives or financial situation. Our goal is to bring you targeted long-term analysis based on fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not take into account the latest announcements from price-sensitive companies or qualitative materials. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

Disk Duplication Market Share 2022-2029 Mon, 09 May 2022 05:19:45 +0000

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Fed hawks Waller and Bullard push back ‘behind the curve’ view By Reuters Sat, 07 May 2022 01:25:00 +0000

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: St. Louis Fed President James Bullard talks about the U.S. economy during an interview in New York February 26, 2015. REUTERS/Lucas Jackson


By Anne Sapphire

(Reuters) – Two of the Federal Reserve’s most vocal political hawks on Friday pushed back against the idea that the U.S. central bank had missed the mark in the fight against high inflation, citing a tightening in financial conditions that began long before the Fed won’t start raising interest rates in March.

“How far behind the curve could we have been in terms of timing if, using forward guidance, effective rate hikes from September 2021 were considered?” Fed Governor Christopher Waller said yields on two-year Treasuries rose last fall as the Fed began signaling the end of its ultra-easy policy.

The move reflects the equivalent of two Fed rate hikes through December, he said.

Speaking at the same Stanford University conference, titled “How Monetary Policy Lagged the Curve,” St. Louis Fed President James Bullard argued that the Fed n is “not as far behind the curve as you might think”.

Earlier this week, the Fed raised its key rate to a range of 0.75% to 1%. Critics say that’s far too low to fight inflation at three times the Fed’s 2% target.

Bullard said he agreed, calling inflation “far too high” and calling for a “rapid” hike in rates, up to perhaps 3.6%, to get inflation under control. But he noted that markets are already pricing in much of that increase.

Rate futures traders currently forecast a fed funds rate of 3% to 3.25% by the end of the year.

“It’s going in the right direction…hopefully we can get away from that characterization behind the curve soon,” Bullard said.

The two were among the first Fed policymakers last year to call for a quick removal of accommodative monetary policy and a faster start to interest rate hikes.

Bullard, in fact, dissented on the Fed’s quarter-point rate hike in March, calling it insufficient.

But both joined their colleagues in endorsing the half-point rate hike announced this week. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, speaking after the rate decision was announced, announced further hikes to come, including half-point rate hikes in June and July.

Waller used his Friday speech to trace how the economic data appeared to first ratify, then challenge, his own view from last spring: that inflation would prove transitory as supply chains heal and that the one-off fiscal stimulus would fade, and that the labor market was poised to roar as COVID-19 receded.

Most of his colleagues shared the first point of view; opinions were more divided on the second. In the end, Waller said, inflation turned out to be much higher and more persistent than he had expected.

At the same time, he described the ‘punch in the gut’ he was feeling as two weaker than expected monthly employment reports in August and September seemed to undermine the thesis of the labor market healing. .

As it turned out, subsequent revisions to the data showed the US labor market had been stronger than the real-time data suggested.

“If we knew then what we know now, I think the (Fed) would have accelerated the taper and raised rates sooner,” Waller said. “But nobody knew that, and that’s the nature of real-time monetary policy.”

By early November, most policymakers were of the view that high and rising inflation would not come down fast enough on its own, and that companies’ demand for workers far exceeded a sluggish labor supply. to straighten up.

“That’s when…the FOMC pivoted,” Waller said. The Federal Open Market Committee, known as the FOMC, is the governing body of the Fed.

The conference featured several former Fed policymakers and economists who argued that the Fed had fallen so far behind the curve that it would almost surely end up causing a recession as it sought to catch up by raising rates higher. rapidly.

Former Fed Vice Chairman of Oversight Randal Quarles, who says he was the Fed’s most hawkish member until Waller took over late last year, told the conference that in hindsight, it was clear “that it would have been better to start raising rates last September”.

It wasn’t a lack of nerves, politics or stupidity, he said on Friday. “It was a complicated situation with little precedent, and people make mistakes.”

Airbus sets record production target for best-selling planes By Reuters Wed, 04 May 2022 16:46:00 +0000

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The Airbus logo is pictured at the entrance to the Airbus factory in Bouguenais, near Nantes, France, July 2, 2020. REUTERS/Stephane Mahe


By Tim Hepher

DUBLIN (Reuters) – Airbus in Europe has confirmed plans to increase production of its best-selling A320 family narrow-body jets by 50% from current levels to a record 75 per month in 2025, as it posted higher-than-expected quarterly results on Wednesday.

The world’s largest planemaker is already restoring production of the high-demand single-aisle models as pandemic travel restrictions ease – with an interim target of 65 A320 Family jets per month by summer 2023, up from 50 per month now.

On Wednesday, it said it would go further and continue to increase monthly production beyond that date to reach 75 per month by the middle of the decade, cementing proposals tentatively aired last year.

The engine manufacturers, who had carried out a rearguard action by suppliers worried that they would only have to invest to cope with overcapacity if Airbus forecasts turned out to be optimistic, partly opened the door to a rise the last week, saying that they had agreed on quotas for 2024.

But some experts fear widespread shortages in global supply chains could disrupt higher production in the near term, while aircraft financiers gathered for annual conferences in Dublin fear high production could depress existing assets .

Airbus Chief Executive Guillaume Faury said in a statement that the global aerospace industry would benefit from the increased production, which leaves the European manufacturer on track for production well ahead of announced plans. by rival Boeing (NYSE:).

Airbus said its benchmark adjusted operating profit rose 82% to 1.26 billion euros in the first quarter thanks to higher deliveries and a one-time change in pension measures, offset by the impact of sanctions against Russia because of the war in Ukraine.

Revenue rose 15% to 12 billion euros as Airbus did not change its financial targets for the year.

Meanwhile, it has confirmed a postponement of its new A321XLR to early 2024 as it continues discussions with regulators.

Amazon to reimburse U.S. employees who travel for abortions and other treatment By Reuters Mon, 02 May 2022 16:41:00 +0000

© Reuters. The Amazon logo is displayed on a sign outside the company’s LDJ5 sorting center as employees begin voting to unionize a second warehouse in the Staten Island borough of New York, United States, on 25 April 2022. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid.

By Jeffrey Dastin

(Reuters) – Inc, the second-largest private U.S. employer, told staff on Monday it would pay up to $4,000 in travel expenses a year for non-life-threatening medical treatment, including including abortions, according to a message seen by Reuters.

The decision makes the online retailer the latest company after Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:), Yelp (NYSE:) Inc and others to respond to Republican-backed state laws limiting access to abortion, helping employees circumvent them. It shows how keen companies are to retain and attract talent to places that remain important to their operations despite legal changes impacting employee health.

The U.S. Supreme Court is due to rule by the end of June in a case that gives its conservative majority a chance to roll back abortion rights or even overturn the landmark 1973 Roe v. Wade who legalized the procedure nationwide. About two dozen states, including Oklahoma and Alabama, have laws set to limit access to abortion if the Roe ruling is overturned.

The new benefit from Amazon (NASDAQ:), effective retroactive to January 1, applies if an operation is not available within 161 km of an employee’s home and virtual care is not possible , indicates the message of the company. It is open to U.S. employees or covered dependents enrolled in Premera or Aetna health plans, whether they work in a corporate office or warehouse.

The refunds Amazon announced on Monday are not specific to abortion. They also provide for other non-lethal treatments such as cardiology, cell gene therapies, and addiction disorder treatment services. Separately, Amazon is offering up to $10,000 in annual travel reimbursements for life-threatening issues.

The news came the day Amazon stopped offering paid leave to U.S. employees diagnosed with COVID-19, instead giving them five days of excused unpaid leave. Amazon workers at a warehouse in New York will also have their votes counted on Monday, which will determine whether the establishment will unionize. A group of current and former workers known as the Amazon Labor Union has been pushing for better pay and job security.